Showing posts with label Stocks tumble after late sell-off. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks tumble after late sell-off. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 21, 2023

How to foretell the future: demography

Ken Gronbach, KGC Direct, 11/21/23; Seth Auberon, Pfc. Sandoval (eds.), Wisdom Quarterly
Where we were shapes where we're going. Demography reveals what will happen to 

Demography is the key to know what will happen in the future. Real demographic facts help one guide new reality strategies. Demographics precipitated economics, not the other way around.

The truth about what’s next and the tsunami of opportunity or doom is right ahead of us. Gronbach is not a motivational speaker. He's a motivated demographer, who can educate and entertain with real data. 
His presentations are about people and the products and services they are interested in. He offers take-a-way messages for reality planning. He uses facts, not opinions, data, not guesswork or theory. What is a valuable take-a-way? Strategy.


The Age Curve (Ken Gronbach)
A real strategy incorporates facts and a simple demographic model to use right away to shape a successful plan. Sound too good to be true? It’s not.

Twenty-two years ago, as president of a successful retail advertising agency, he made a remarkable discovery about the relationship between shifting demography and changing markets.

The evidence was overwhelming. He could now forecast markets with uncanny accuracy. He shares his secret with audiences by educating, entertaining, and inspiring them. More

Wednesday, March 6, 2019

LA Radio: Bean leaving KROQ (video)

HollywoodReporter.com; Seth Auberon, Pat Macpherson, Wisdom Quarterly
(Eddie Vedder) Gene "Bean" Baxter has long been phoning it in from Seattle.

It took 30 years but The Kevin & Bean Show is finally falling apart with the firing of Lisa May, the dumping of comic Ralph Garman, and now the departure of Bean. The biggest dagger in the corpse of the show has been the addition of show-killer Ally Mac Kay, but no one tell her that. The show has enough problems without her.

(FOX 11) Funnyman Ralph Garman explains his forced exit

Gene "Bean" and wife Donna Baxter
Baxter, who has hosted the show alongside Kevin Ryder since it launched in 1989, made the surprise announcement this (Wednesday) morning at 7:00 am.
 
[Autistic or on the spectrum] Gene "Bean" Baxter is leaving KROQ's morning show Kevin & Bean after 30 years.

He tweeted the news, explaining his decision to depart: "Just announced on the @KevinAndBean Show, after 30 years I am leaving the show at the end of the year to move back home to England, the ninth largest island in the world. Much more to come on this."
On the air he noted that he is a British citizen, having been born there, and visits England quite often given he has [alleged] friends and family there. He said he's been mulling this decision over with his Latina wife, fashion designer Donna Baxter, for years, and decided it was the right time to make the move.

(KROQ) More talent has come out of this show -- from Jimmy Kimmel to Adam Corolla to Mike Catherwood -- than seems to go in. Kevin & Bean are the least famous.

He added that Luke Perry's death Monday at age 52 [youthful compared to crotchety ol' Bean, estimated to be in his 60s or 70s, who may look worse for donating his kidney] from a massive stroke was a wake-up call.

"It's another reminder that tomorrow is not guaranteed for anybody, and we have been talking about moving to Europe for years," he said. "But at what point are we going to do it? It can't always be a spot on the horizon. When you're young and healthy enough to enjoy it, you can't put off things that you've been looking forward to in life forever."

Baxter indicated that he'll be looking for a radio gig in the U.K., adding that he believes "the odds are stacked against me because of my age and my dumb American accent." He added that he felt that "30 years makes sense to me." More

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Obama: "The Man Who Sold the World"

Wisdom Quarterly (just pointing out the obvious)
I never intended my phony negotiation style to sink world markets, honest! My handlers misled me. I caved right in like I was told. Blame the Republicans, blame Boehner, blame Reid. Obamacare? I'm ready to slash social security and anything else the people need or are entitled to... so long as the bankers keep their promise to re-[s]elect me.

Once Nirvana premiered this great new song on MTV's Unplugged. Only it wasn't new. It was David Bowie's "The Man Who Sold the World." Kurt had a knack for spotting hits and even making them sound better than the original acoustically.

The song tells the tale of a fictional president: "We passed upon the stair, we spoke of was and when. Although I wasn't there, he said I was his friend, which came as some surprise. I spoke into his eyes. I thought you died [inside] alone, a long long time ago.


This secret New World Order plan actually makes sense.

"Oh no, not me.
I never lost control!
You're face to face
With The Man Who Sold The World.

"I laughed and shook his hand, and made my way back home. I searched a foreign land [Afghanistan]. For years and years I roamed. I gazed a gazely stare at all the millions here. We must have died alone, a long long time ago.

"Who knows? Not me.
We never lost control.
You're face to face
With the Man who Sold the World."

But this song is only part of the story. Obama is the "Savior Machine"


"How ya like me now?" w can hear Obama asking. And the amazing thing isn't that he sold us all out. That's why they selected him for the job in the first place. No, the amazing thing is that the same people will vote for him again.

True, he's an improvement on Dick Cheney. But how much betrayal is enough to rethink American political propaganda and go in a new direction beyond the rigged two party system?

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Stocks tumble after late sell-off

Tim Paradis (AP)

NEW YORK - Stocks plunged Thursday, sending the Dow Jones industrial average down 679 points — more than 7 percent — to its lowest level in five years. Stocks took a nosedive after a major credit-rating agency said it might cut its rating on General Motors and Ford, further rattling investors already fretting over the impact of tight credit on the economy.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index also fell more than 7 percent. The declines came on the one-year anniversary of the closing highs of the Dow and the S&P. The Dow has lost 5,585 points, or 39.4 percent, since closing at 14,164.53 on Oct. 9, 2007. It's the worst run for the Dow since the nearly two-year bear market that ended in December 1974 when the Dow lost 45 percent. The S&P 500, meanwhile, is off 655 points, or 41.9 percent, since recording its high of 1,565.15.
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U.S. stock market paper losses totaled $872 billion Thursday and the value of shares over all has tumbled a stunning $8.33 trillion since last year's high. That's based on figures measured by the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index, which tracks 5,000 U.S.-based companies' stocks and represents almost all stocks traded in America.

Thursday's sell-off came as Standard & Poor's Ratings Services put General Motors Corp. and its finance affiliate GMAC LLC under review to see if its rating should be cut. The action means there is a 50 percent chance that S&P will lower GM's and GMAC's ratings in the next three months. GM has been struggling with weak car sales in North America.

S&P also put Ford Motor Co. on credit watch negative. The ratings agency said that GM and Ford have adequate liquidity now, but that could change in 2009.

GM, one of the 30 stocks that make up the Dow industrials, fell $2.15, or 31 percent, to $4.76, while Ford fell 58 cents, or 22 percent, to $2.08.

"The story is getting to be like that movie 'Groundhog Day,'" said Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co. He pointed to the still-frozen credit markets, and Libor, the bank-to-bank lending rate that remains stubbornly high despite interest rate cuts this week by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks.

"Until that starts coming down, you'll be hard-pressed to find anyone getting excited about stocks," Hogan said. "Everything we're seeing is historic. The problem is historic, the solutions are historic, and unfortunately, the sell-off is historic. It's not the kind of history you want to be making."

The Dow ended the day at its lows, finishing down 678.91, or 7.3 percent, at 8,579.19. The blue chips hadn't closed below 9,000 since June 30, 2003, and haven't closed at this level since May 21, 2003.

The Dow's 2,271-point tumble over the last seven sessions is its steepest seven-day point drop ever. Its seven-day percentage decline of 20.9 percent is the largest since the seven-day plunge ending Oct. 26, 1987, when the Dow lost 23.8 percent. That sell-off included Black Monday, the Oct. 19, 1987 market crash that saw the Dow fall nearly 23 percent in a single day.

Broader stock indicators also tumbled Thursday. The S&P 500 fell 75.02, or 7.6 percent, to 909.92, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 95.21, or 5.5 percent, to 1,645.12.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 47.37, or 8.7 percent, to 499.20.

A wave of fear about the economy sent stocks lower in the final two hours of trading after a volatile morning in which major indicators like the Dow and the S&P 500 index bobbed up and down. The Nasdaq, with a bevy of tech stocks, spent much of the session higher but eventually declined as the sell-off intensified. Still, its losses were less severe because of the relatively modest drops in names like Intel Corp. and Microsoft Corp.

On the New York Stock Exchange, declining issues came to nearly 3,000, while fewer than 250 advanced.

The sluggishness in the credit markets that triggered much of the heavy selling in markets around the world since mid-September appeared little changed Thursday following days of efforts by the Federal Reserve and other central banks to resuscitate lending.

Libor, the bank lending benchmark, for three-month dollar loans rose to 4.75 percent from 4.52 percent on Wednesday. That signals that banks remain hesitant to make loans for fear they won't be paid back.

The Fed and other leading central banks this week lowered key interest rates to help unclog the credit markets and promote lending to help the global economy. While a rate cut can take up to a year to work its way through the economy, the move was aimed as a boost to investor sentiment.

"We're stuck in a morass and I think it's going to take quite some time to come out of it," said Stephen Carl, principal and head of equity trading at The Williams Capital Group.

Demand remained high for short-term Treasurys, a refuge for investors willing to trade modest returns to protect their money. The yield on the three-month Treasury bill, which moves opposite its price, fell to 0.58 percent from 0.63 percent late Wednesday. Longer-term debt prices fell, with the yield on the 10-year note rising to 3.79 percent from 3.65 percent late Wednesday.

Investors across markets were mulling a plan being considered by the Bush administration to invest in hobbled U.S. banks as a way to stabilize the financial sector. The $700 billion rescue package signed into law last week allows the Treasury Department to inject fresh capital into financial institutions and obtain ownership shares in return.

Britain rolled out a similar plan, though no U.K. bank has received any investments. In Iceland, the government now has control of the country's three major banks as it struggles to contain the troubles there.

Wall Street is also looking for any effects of short selling now that a three-week ban imposed by regulators has expired. Short selling is a technique in which investors borrow shares in a company from a broker and sell them, hoping to buy them back later at a lower price. Essentially, it's a bet that a stock's price will fall. Short sellers can lose money if they have to repurchase the stock after it has risen.

Some analysts believe the unprecedented ban on short selling — an effort to bolster investor confidence — did more harm than good at a time of historic market volatility. They contend that short sellers help the market rally by covering their bets and creating demand for stocks.

"I think the market's way oversold. But I can't stand in the way of this falling knife — I'd get sliced open," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors. "Investors are just saying, get me out at any price."

He also said that with the short-selling rule back in play, hedge funds might be shorting again to make up for their forced liquidations.

Energy names were among the biggest decliners as the price of oil fell and investors worried about a slowing economy. Exxon Mobil Corp. fell $9, or 12 percent, to $68, while Chevron Corp. fell $9.10, or 12 percent, to $64.

Light, sweet crude fell $1.81 to settle at $86.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest closing price since October last year.

Health insurer WellPoint Inc. fell $3.94, or 9.7 percent, to $36.50, while insurer and investment manager Lincoln National Corp. fell $9.66, or 35 percent, to $18.31.

The tech sector saw less selling than other parts of the market after IBM Corp. affirmed its forecast.

IBM fell $1.55, or 1.7 percent, to $89. Meanwhile, Intel fell 65 cents, or 4 percent, to $15.60 and Microsoft fell 71 cents, or 3.1 percent, to $22.30.

Consolidated trading volume on the NYSE came to 8.14 billion consolidated shares compared with 8.54 billion traded Wednesday.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 closed down 0.50 percent while the Hang Seng added 3.31 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE-100 fell 1.21 percent, Germany's DAX fell 2.53 percent, and France's CAC-40 declined 1.55 percent.
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