Thursday, February 13, 2025

5 reasons Trump will fail (Beavis+BH)


5 Reasons Trump Will Fail (and it’s already happening)
(Brendan Miller) Feb. 7, 2025: Disruptor Trump is f'ing S up like radicals and liberals and revolutionaries always dreamed of doing to Washington, DC. But he's the wrong individual for the job. He and Pres. Musk are likely to take things in a worse direction rather than actually routing out any corruption, government waste, and political bias. (First, he's an unindicted co-conspirator in a treasonous insurrection, e.g., Jan. 6th, and now he's there to finish the job from the inside out -- pretty impressive for a total outsider with no common sense, no brains in evidence, and nothing but contempt, rabblerousing, and revenge on his mind. He always said his backers would get sick of winning, and now it actually seems to be coming true with winners: Tulsi Gabbard, JFK Jr., a blackout drunk in Hegseth, Tom "Project 2025" Homan,
  • 00:00 Intro
  • 01:29 Argument 1 - Everything changes in politics
  • 02:35 Thermostatic politics
  • 03:33 Argument 2 - You break it, you own it
  • 03:50 Incumbency fatigue
  • 04:44 Argument 3 - Overreach
  • 06:30 Purity spiral
  • 06:50 Argument 4 - Succession failure
  • 07:22 Charisma
  • 08:14 Argument 5 - His ideas won't work
  • 09:04 Rule of Law
  • 09:52 Conclusion
(South Park) Don Trump's first day as president


SOURCES
  • Facebook and fact-checkers https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c...
  • Media orgs caving into lawsuits https://www.thefire.org/news/media-ou...
  • Vibe-shifts articles https://marginalrevolution.com/margin...
  • https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story...
  • https://www.ian-leslie.com/p/notes-on...
  • https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/19/op...
  • https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-vibe...
  • Democrats are demoralised https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-re...
  • Presidential scholarship on declining support https://www.jstor.org/stable/1955610 Thermostatic politics
  • https://goodauthority.org/news/good-t...
  • Opinion shifts during Trump and Obama http://kelizabethcoggins.com/mood-pol...
  • Trump's approval ratings in term 1 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
  • Turn away from incumbents https://time.com/6999625/us-france-ja...
  • Trump's popular vote https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/19/op...
  • Inflation and economy key concerns https://bsky.app/profile/drjennings.b...
  • Many Jan. 6 Rioters Pardoned by Trump Attacked Police, Videos Show https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/us...
  • Inflation price increases https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney...
  • Spending freeze https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01...
  • Trump ally criticises pardons for violent Jan 6 offenders https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c...
  • Trump supporter talks tariffs https://www.tiktok.com/@waltermasters...
  • Illegal actions https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump... https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...
  • https://uk.news.yahoo.com/lawmakers-l...
  • Conservative criticism https://x.com/Brian_Riedl/status/1886...
  • Trump & free speech: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidenti...
  • https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trum...
Get emails when Brendan Miller publishes: brendanmiller.substack.com Talking about politics on BlueSky https://bsky.app/profile/brenkjm.bsky... and Twitter: brenkjm. Articles on making explainers https://brendanmiller.co.uk/learn-fil... How Dune Explains Political Power • How Dune explains political power
  • Beaver and @ss-Hat Beavis and Butt-Head, Common Sense News; Brendan Miller, Feb. 7, 2025; Pfc. Sandoval, Seth Auberon, Shauna Schwartz, Ashley Wells (eds.), Wisdom Quarterly

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